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Monthly Archives: April 2016
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What Trump’s “America First” Policy Means

Yesterday Donald Trump made his initial foray into foreign policy, announcing that “America First will be the major and overriding theme of my administration.”

Today the slogan is generating criticism from some who remember what the term “America First” meant in the early 1940s.

CNN proclaimed that “Trump’s ‘America First’ has ugly echoes from U.S. History.” The Chicago Tribune opined that “Donald Trump’s new America First slogan has old baggage from Nazi Era.” Radio host Glenn Beck managed to link Trump with David Duke, the Ku Klux Klan, and Neo-Nazis during his broadcast this morning.

The America First Committee, as the historically-minded know, was an isolationist movement that attempted to prevent the United States from intervening on behalf of the Allies before World War II.  Its most noteworthy spokesman was aviator Charles Lindbergh, an unabashed admirer of the Nazi Luftwaffe. It disbanded soon after the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.

Certainly, someone on Trump’s campaign team knew the historical significance of the term. They knew, but they didn’t care. Intellectuals who remember the now-discredited “America First” of 75 years ago are not going to vote for Trump anyway. Trump’s advisors were also confident that the term, once identified with anti-Semitism, would not tinge Trump in that way due to his strong pro-Israel stand.

Trump’s speech tries to re-invent the term for a modern audience.

“Many Americans must wonder why our politicians seem more interested in defending the borders of foreign countries than their own,” Trump declared. “Americans must know that we are putting the American people first again. On trade, on immigration, on foreign policy – the jobs, incomes and security of the American worker will always be my first priority.”

But is Trump’s “America First” isolationist like its precursor from the 1940s? Or is it interventionist?

First Trump criticizes the interventions of the recent past.

“It all began with the dangerous idea that we could make Western democracies out of countries that had no experience or interest in becoming a Western democracy. We tore up what institutions they had and then were surprised at what we unleashed. Civil war, religious fanaticism; thousands of American lives, and many trillions of dollars, were lost as a result. The vacuum was created that ISIS would fill. Iran, too, would rush in and fill the void, much to their unjust enrichment.”

Yet then Trump endorses future interventions.

“Iran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon and, under a Trump administration, will never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.”

Never? At what cost? War?

“And then there’s ISIS,” Trump continued. “I have a simple message for them. Their days are numbered. I won’t tell them where and I won’t tell them how. We must as, a nation, be more unpredictable. But they’re going to be gone. And soon.”

So we are going to intervene in foreign affairs, at least against ISIS. But those future interventions will be essential and winnable.

“I will not hesitate to deploy military force when there is no alternative. But if America fights, it must fight to win. I will never send our finest into battle unless necessary – and will only do so if we have a plan for victory.”

As if his predecessors didn’t think that their interventions were essential and winnable too. They did not think that they had a plan for defeat. Whoever does?

So what does Trump’s America First mean?

It means just what it says. Us first, everyone else second.

That’s Trump’s idea of a “disciplined, deliberate and consistent foreign policy” that “will endure for generations.”

April 28, 2016 Charles Stanley
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Kasich Steps Back From Deal with Cruz

Today Governor John Kasich hedged on his armistice deal with Senator Ted Cruz not 24 hours after the pact was announced.

Yesterday the two campaigns announced an agreement whereby Kasich would not contend against Cruz in the key GOP primary in Indiana, while Cruz would leave Kasich alone in Oregon and New Mexico. The goal was to prevent a first round ballot nomination for Donald Trump.

Today, when pressed by reports about the deal, Kasich seems to back away from it, refusing to encourage his supporters in Indiana to vote for Cruz. In fact, Kasich encouraged them for still vote for himself.

“I’ve never told them not to vote for me,” insisted Kasich. “They should vote for me.”

Moreover, Kasich contended that the deal was more about a scant war chest.

“I said I think it’s fair because, you know, in some places we haven’t spent a lot of resources,” he continued. “I didn’t spend resources in the state of Wisconsin. Minor amount of spending. I don’t have, you know, like Daddy Warbucks behind me giving me all this money. I have to be careful about my resources.”

The assertion came despite consensus opinions that a vote for Kasich in Indiana only helps Donald Trump.

The deal came about after the Never Trump movement called on Kasich to back off in Indiana. They were frustrated that Governor John Kasich was hindering their efforts to deny Indiana delegates to Trump.

Katie Packer, a veteran of Mitt Romney’s 2012 campaign and the executive director for the anti-Trump group Our Principles PAC, said “There’s nothing we see that indicates that Kasich has real opportunities to pick up delegates [in Indiana],” she said. “I don’t really know what their campaign’s objectives [in Indiana] are…but for our purposes – no.”

“Don’t understand Kasich logic of competing in Indiana,” former Romney strategist Stuart Stevens had tweeted. “He can’t win but can help Trump, greatly reducing any convention option. Why?”

The logic still applies.  Our conclusion? Either Kasich is an idiot (possible) or he is double-dealing.

Kasich agreed to the deal only under intense pressure from the moneyed Never Trump folks. He’s hedging to preserve his options.

Plan A: His quixotic campaign for the White House.

Plan B: Despite his denials, Kasich will settle for Vice-President. Donald Trump’s Vice-President, that is.

April 26, 2016 Charles Stanley
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A Vote For Kasich Is A Vote For Trump

Republican voters heading to the New York primary polls have three choices: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and John Kasich.

But a vote for Kasich is really a vote for Trump. The reason is simple.  He splits the anti-Trump vote and has no chance of winning the nomination himself.

Kasich has won only 148 delegates, fewer than Macro Rubio, who dropped out a long month ago. If he won every single remaining delegate, he would still fall short.

Moreover, Kasich must win eight states to have his name put into nomination for President under the current Republican Convention rules. He has won only one state so far, his native Ohio.  He will not win any others going forward.

So why is Kasich still running? Pure ego? A quixotic hope that the establishment will turn toward him rather than Trump or Cruz in a brokered convention? Maybe.

The fact is that Kasich’s continued candidacy helps only one man, Donald Trump.  He could not be helping Trump more if he planned too, except that he might possess the very votes needed to deny Trump the nomination on the first ballot.

Hmm…

That would also give Kasich the votes to give the nomination to Trump on the second or third ballot in return for the vice-presidency. Kasich denies that he is running for vice-president, but of course he would, especially if it were so.

There can only be one conclusion.

If one wants to cast an anti-Trump vote, there is only one choice left: Ted Cruz.

April 18, 2016 Charles Stanley 1 Comment
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UALBANY Racial Violence Hoax Takes a Turn Toward Justice

Justice may soon be served against the three African-American women who recently perpetrated a racially-based hoax in Albany, New York.

On January 30, 2016, the three students at the University at Albany, made national news when they alleged that they had been assaulted during a racially-motivated incident on a public bus.

Now Asha Burwell, Ariel Agudio, and Alexi Briggs will face a Grand Jury that will decide whether to prosecute them on twenty accounts of assault and of falsely reporting a crime.

In early April, all three turned down a plea bargain deal that would have required an apology from them. Now a Grand Jury investigation has begun.

The women claim that they are being unfairly prosecuted by Albany County District Attorney David Soares (who happens to be black). They are supported by the Upstate Chapter of New York Black Lives Matter.

The three were also supported initially by UAlbany President Robert J. Jones, who issued a statement declaring that he was “deeply concerned, saddened, and angry about the incident. He added that “there is no place in the UAlbany community for violence, no place for racial intolerance, and no gender violence.”

Hillary Clinton contributed a Tweet, sermonizing that “There is no excuse for racism and violence on college campuses.”

Asha Burwell’s brother, San Diego Chargers lineman Tryeek Burwell, fired off a threatening Tweet directed at a young male witness who did not participate in the incident. “Just found out you were one of the dudes that put your hands on my little sister. Hope the police get to you before I do.”

The usual pattern of angst ensued on campus: anguished soul searching and calls for greater “diversity” among faculty and college administrators.

Thousands attended a protest rally (pictured above), during which the three “victims” tearfully pleaded for social justice.

Unfortunately for the Terrible Trio, video from the bus, plus every other eyewitness, contracted their story in full. The videos may be found on any number of Albany local news feeds.

It turn out that that the attacks were indeed racially motivated—that is, the three black women attacked a 19 year old white woman while screaming racial slurs. Police filed charges against them in mid-February.

No apologies have since come forward from UAlbany President Jones, although a disciplinary hearing occurred on campus regarding the false report from the Three. Tryeek Burwell has taken his Tweet down, but not apologized for his threat. Hillary Clinton, of course, just hopes that everyone has forgotten her involvement.

But maybe Clinton was right for once.  Maybe the criminal justice system will prove that “There is no excuse for racism and violence on college campuses,” even when it comes from African-American students.

Tawana Brawley was never prosecuted for her false allegations.  The Reverend Al Sharpton exploited the hoax to the fullest and remains a national figure despite owing $4.5 million in back taxes.

Maybe this time, just once, justice will prevail.

April 15, 2016 Charles Stanley
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The Quotable John Kasich

Love him or hate him, John Kasich has a distinct way of expressing himself. Here are some classic quotes.

“Politics can not only be drudgery and Captain Queeg with the balls in his hands.”

“I’m an old fashioned person and I happen to believe in traditional marriage.”

“I support traditional marriage, but it’s time to move on.”

“Guess what? I just went to the wedding of a friend of mine who happens to be gay.”

“If the B-2 (bomber) is invisible, just announce you’ve built 100 of them and don’t build them.”

“How did I get elected? Nobody was—I didn’t have anybody for me. We just got an army of people who, and many women, who left their kitchens to go out and get me elected.”

“I’m going to be sure, at least in my state, that (educational) standards are high and local control can be maintained…. Now some might call that Common Core. I don’t really know, but I’m telling you that’s the way it is in my state.”

“The Republican party is my vehicle, not my master.”

“Every time I go to Washington, I break out in a cold sweat. So I try not to spend too much time there.”

“We have to go massively, like we did in the first Gulf War, where we destroyed Saddam’s ability to take Kuwait. We need to have a coalition that will stand for nothing less than the total destruction of ISIS and he have to be the leader.”

“The foreign policy, you have to know how to pick and choose. There’s no way, if Saddam had not had weapons of mass destruction, I would have gone, because I don’t believe the US should be involved directly in civil wars.”

And the latest, as he defended his continue presence in the race during his interview on Face the Nation last Sunday.

“We’re going to win more delegates, and I mean that is our strategy.”

So the strategy for winning the nomination is gaining delegates. Who knew?

 

April 12, 2016 Charles Stanley
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Is Trump Self-Financing His Campaign? Not quite.

Donald Trump has famously declared “I’m self-funding my own campaign. It’s my money.”

The declaration is the basis of much of his support. Trump followers are convinced that he is the one candidate who is not beholding to special interest groups.

But is Trump really self-financed? The answer is “sort of, but not quite.”

Trump’s self-financing accounts for $26.7 million, or 71% of his campaign money so far, according to his FEC filings. Nearly half of this money, $12.6 million, has come in the form of loans from Trump to his campaign. These loans imply that he hopes to be repaid by the campaign by Election Day.

$2.7 million of Trump’s campaign payments have been made for services rendered by Trump-affiliated companies. Much of this money is related to Trump’s travel in his personal jet.

Non-Trump donors account for 28 percent of Trump’s campaign finances.

In addition, a pro-Trump Super PAC, Make America Great Again, has raised $1,732,684 for ads promoting Trump.

So is Trump’s campaign self-financed? As with many financial questions, the answer is “it depends upon how you count it.”

Below are the facts and figures.

Trump Fundraising Details

Campaign Committee Outside Groups Combined
Total Raised $34,740,678* $1,968,261 $36,708,939
Total Spent $33,399,873** $1,807,803 $35,207,676
Cash on Hand $1,340,805 $160,458 $1,501,263
Debts $24,384,058 – –
Date of Report February 29, 2016 March 21, 2016 –

*Includes $12.6 million in loans from Trump

**Includes $2.7 million in payments to Trump-affiliated companies for services, including his private jet

Source of Funds

Individual Contributions
– Small Individual Contributions
– Large Individual Contributions
$9,527,020
$7,201,692 (21%)
$2,325,327 (7%)
(27%)
Candidate self-financing (inc. loans from Trump) $24,666,434 (71%)
Other $547,224 (2%)

Source: Center for Responsive Politics

 

 

April 5, 2016 Charles Stanley

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